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TIME may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice. Please forward this error screen to host. 3 million deal with the two-time defending champion Golden State Warriors. In a move straight out of a poorly designed video game, the Warriors — when healthy — can add a fifth All-Star to their starting lineup for less money than the New York Knicks just agreed to pay Mario Hezonja. How will Cousins fit in the Bay Area? And how much will his addition help Golden State’s chances of making it four titles in five years?
As I explained last week, the tight market for free agents and particularly centers made bargains possible. Given those constraints, Cousins’ market was squeezed in a hurry. Unless there’s a suitor we don’t know about, odds are Cousins actually didn’t sacrifice much money to take the Warriors’ smaller taxpayer midlevel. At that point, the chance to join the defending champs was probably worth taking slightly less money for one year. Cousins will return to free agency in a year hoping for a better market, as more teams will have cap space and he’ll be a year further removed from the ruptured Achilles tendon that ended his 2017-18 season before the All-Star break.
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And pay off any debt you currently have. Cousins will easily beat that in free agency. Depending on how much you drive, by continuing to use our site, most people accept the price on their utility bill each month without question.
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What can Golden State expect from Cousins? The Achilles injury should temper expectations for Cousins to some extent. As I’ve noted before, the track record for players coming back from a ruptured Achilles tendon shows them playing about 8 percent worse the following season than projected based on their pre-injury stats. Of course, Cousins has plenty of room to decline and still be an elite player. Even after accounting for the injury, I projected Cousins to be 8.
6 wins better than a replacement-level player next season before considering where he’d sign. That projection did not factor in a late start to Cousins’ season, and ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski reported that Cousins is hoping to return sometime in December or January. That would be a conservative timetable for a return from the Achilles rupture suffered Jan. If any team can afford to wait on Cousins, it’s Golden State, which has prioritized peaking in the playoffs over piling up regular-season wins. Adding Cousins might force the Warriors to spend an additional roster spot on center depth, but that’s a price Golden State will surely pay. How will Cousins fit with the Warriors? Adding Cousins will require adjustment for both him and his new Golden State teammates.
Cousins has used more than 30 percent of his team’s plays each of the past five seasons, including 32 percent last season with the Pelicans. By contrast, only one Warriors center used more than 20 percent of the team’s plays while on the court in 2017-18: David West at 22 percent. Cousins will also have to get comfortable making quicker decisions with the ball on offense. He has had the opportunity to hold the ball and survey the defense before deciding whether to shoot, pass or drive, something that is frowned upon in the Golden State offense because of the way it allows defenses to load up. According to Second Spectrum tracking, Cousins’ average touch last season saw him hold the ball for 2.
6 seconds, far longer than the Warriors’ centers. Bell had the longest average touch time of those players, at 1. At the other end of the court, Cousins isn’t ideally suited for Golden State’s switch-heavy defense. Per Second Spectrum tracking, Cousins switched on just 46 screens all of 2017-18, 2.
7 percent of the screens he defended. Even Pachulia, the slowest-footed of the Warriors’ centers last season, switched 13 percent of the screens he defended. Steve Kerr will want to avoid putting Cousins in situations in which he has to switch. I would say there’s some risk to this signing for the Warriors. Cousins’ relationships with his teammates have been mixed, and those with coaches worse than that.
If he’s unwilling or unable to adapt his game, it’s even possible that Cousins could hurt Golden State more than he helps. In that case, however, the Warriors could simply look to trade or move Cousins and move on with relatively little pain. For all the critics bemoaning Golden State’s continuing to ruin the NBA, the good news is this is almost certainly a one-year partnership. 4 million to return in 2019-20 using non-Bird rights, and if he plays well, Cousins will easily beat that in free agency.
That said, in this case, the critics do have something of a point. The addition of Cousins plus the Houston Rockets’ losing starter Trevor Ariza means the gap between Golden State and the rest of the NBA appears to have only widened so far this offseason. 19, 2014 photo shows the Family Dollar store in Ridgeland, Miss. Unfortunately, these stores aren’t passing the savings onto consumers. In Seattle, Amazon helped fund the construction of a streetcar line.
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